This content will be dedicated to providing you with an easy-to-follow breakdown of the elite cash plays, GPP plays, and leverage stacks.
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MLB DK Pitcher Table
Bauer continues to find success for the Los Angeles Dodgers, posting a 3.10 xFIP with a 35.5% strikeout rate through 9 games. He’s been one of the most consistent pitchers in the MLB while flashing plenty of upside. Bauer gets an interesting matchup against the San Francisco Giants tonight. He’ll benefit from playing in a pitcher-friendly stadium, and he’s a -139 favorite in a game set at 7 runs tonight.
Anderson’s fantasy production doesn’t match his skill and success this season. He boasts a 3.45 xFIP to go along with a 25.3% strikeout rate. His swinging-strike rate and CSW% suggest his strikeout rate could increase as the season progresses. Most importantly, Anderson gets a great matchup against a weak Pittsburgh Pirates offense. He’s a -195 favorite in a game set at 8 runs, and he’s an interesting pivot off of Tyler Glasnow, who generally features ownership.
Minor’s seen mixed results early this season, flashing elite upside, while also posting single-digit fantasy points in multiple games. Overall, he’s recorded a 4.55 xFIP with a 24.4% strikeout rate through 8 starts. This is a matchup-based recommendation, though. Minor gets a matchup against the Detroit Tigers, who feature one of the worst offenses in the MLB. He dominated them for 27.2 fantasy points in their only matchup this season. If you’re spending down at pitcher, Minor is the clear top option on this slate.
Other GPP Targets: Chris Paddack, Carlos Martinez, Alex Wood, Marcus Stroman
MLB Top Batters
Contreras has quietly enjoyed a solid rookie season, specifically against left-handed pitching. He enters this game with a .286 average, a .714 slugging percentage, and a 1.048 OPS against southpaws. He also boasts .056 wOBA and .156 ISO differentials against left-handed pitching this season. Contreras gets a plus matchup against Tyler Anderson tonight. The rookie sits in the mid-price range, and he’s an outstanding option on this slate.
If you have the salary, Narvaez could be a key option tonight. He’s hitting for a .369 average with a .524 slugging percentage and a .978 OPS through 28 games. Narvaez gets a great matchup against Jeff Hoffman in one of the more hitter-friendly stadiums tonight. He’s also expected to hit fourth in the Milwaukee Brewers lineup. Although a limited sample size, Narvaez owns a .474/.763/1.319 line on the road this season. Assuming his spot in the order holds, he’s a great option in all leagues.
Cron’s enjoyed his time in Colorado this season. He’s hitting for a .296 average with 8 extra-base hits (4 home runs) and 12 RBIs over 17 home games. He’s a player that’s also heating up over his last 10 games. Cron and company get a great matchup against Seth Frankoff tonight. His price tag is ridiculous for a team with an implied team total of 6.1, and Cron is one of multiple Rockies that will be making their way into this article.
Smith is an extremely interesting option on this slate. He’s the same price as Cron and slightly more expensive than Josh Bell, suggesting he’ll go overlooked in a relatively difficult matchup against German Marquez. With that being said, Smith is expected to lead off for Arizona in Colorado’s hitter-friendly stadium. Although he hasn’t found success recently, his price tag is far too low for the situation he’s in on this slate.
McMahon’s one of the more expensive Rockies on this slate. He’s performed well at home, where he owns a .280 average with a .538 slugging percentage and a .861 OPS. The majority of McMahon’s struggles have come on the road this season. He gets a plus matchup against Frankoff at home and will play in a key spot in the Colorado lineup. Even though he isn’t overly cheap, McMahon’s price tag is down a bit from when he generally plays at home.
Wong’s an interesting option because his lack of power generally takes away from his upside. With that being said, he makes up for it with his speed. Wong’s lack of power is likely to go overlooked in one of the more hitter-friendly stadiums tonight. He gets a plus matchup against Jeff Hoffman, and Wong is expected to lead off for Milwaukee. He’s at his best against right-handed pitching and is playing for an offense that could go a bit overlooked on this slate.
If you’re looking to save in a Colorado stack, Fuentes is one of the best options. He’s hitting for a .300 average with a .529 slugging percentage and a .853 OPS through 22 games. He recently found success, posting 15+ fantasy points in 5 of 7 games. Fuentes isn’t an elite hitter by any means, but his price tag is ridiculous for his situation on this slate.
You’re going to have to save somewhere tonight, and third base looks like one of the top spots. Castro continues to be a relatively consistent option with upside while possessing a low price tag. He gets an interesting matchup against Jorge Lopez in Washington, and Castro’s been at his best at home this season. He’s also expected to hit fifth in the Nationals lineup, adding to hit upside on this slate.
Story doesn’t get a left-handed pitcher in Coors, but he does get an extremely weak opposition tonight. He’s also the seventh-most expensive option on the slate, which is ridiculous for this matchup. It isn’t going to be overly difficult to get the Rockies into your lineup tonight. Story is one of the best options, even at a position where there are several elite plays.
There are plenty of high-priced shortstops that can be used tonight, but I wanted to give you a salary relief option. Iglesias is hitting for a .294 average with 3 extra-base hits (1 home run) and 4 RBIs over his last 10 games. Most importantly, he’s expected to lead off for the Los Angeles Angels tonight. If he’s leading off, he’ll make an outstanding option. If he isn’t, he’ll lose some of his appeal, so keep an eye on the Los Angeles lineup before plugging him in tonight.
Both sides of this game can be used here. I prefer the Colorado side, specifically Raimel Tapia and Charlie Blackmon. Anyone in either lineup can be considered, though, and I didn’t want to waste all the outfield spots on this one game.
McCutchen’s been a bit of an oddity in recent games. He’s only hitting for a .188 average over his last 10 games. With that being said, he owns 4 extra-base hits (3 home runs), 5 RBIs, and 1 stolen base over that span. McCutchen’s looked outstanding against left-handed pitching this season, posting a .321 average with a .679 slugging percentage and a 1.089 OPS. He gets a great matchup against Martin Perez tonight, as well.
Similar to most of Milwaukee’s price tags tonight, Cain is a bit too cheap. He’s been inconsistent throughout the season, but he gets a great matchup against Jeff Hoffman tonight. He’ll get a boost from playing in Cincinnati’s stadium tonight, as well. Cain hitting near the top of the order for the Brewers, and he’s one of the best salary relief options in the outfield on this slate.
Initially, I wanted to use Juan Soto here, but Schwarber’s price tag will be significantly easier to fit into your lineups. The latter’s caught fire in recent games, posting a .270 average with 4 home runs, 9 RBIs, and 1 stolen base over his last 10 games. Schwarber gets a plus matchup against Jorge Lopez, and he boasts .065 wOBA and .120 ISO career differentials against right-handed pitching.
“Team Batting Score” – A metric that quickly highlights overall team batting based on Runs Created (RC+) by team and comparing it to the average and standard deviation of all other MLB Teams
“Opp. Pitcher SP Score” – A weighted metric that evaluates today’s starting pitchers based on xFIP and Games Started (currently using partial end of 2020 data blended with the 2021 season)
“Opp. BP Score” – Similar to SP Score but weights the xFIP for the team’s bullpen
Team Batting vs. Opp. Pitch
DK MLB Stacks
“T2” (and T3/T4/T5) represents the Top 2 projected hitters for the team on the left (not necessarily the top 2 hitters in the batting order)
Stacking is an extremely important element to MLB DFS. In MLB, all of your players are correlated to each other. Outside of solo home runs, they need each other to succeed. If you look at the top of all of the big GPPs every night you will see stacks dominating the leaderboard.
When using our stacks chart, we want to identify teams that are projecting well but the ownership does not reflect their chance of success.
This slate features several elite stacking options. There are five five-man and three-man stacks listed below, although that doesn’t necessarily have to be your entire pool. With such a large slate tonight, there are more stacking options, specifically in tournaments than are solely listed below.
DraftKings 5-Man Stack Ideas
COL – Tapia/Story/Blackmon/Cron/Fuentes
WAS – Turner/Soto/Bell/Schwarber/Castro
MIL – Wong/Cain/Yelich/Narvaez/Vogelbach
ARI – Smith/Marte/Rojas/Escobar/Peralta
PHI – McCutchen/Segura/Harper/Realmuto/Hoskins
DraftKings 3-Man Stack Ideas
COL – Story/Blackmon/Cron
PHI – McCutchen/Harper/Realmuto
WAS – Turner/Soto/Schwarber
TB – Arozarena/Margot/Meadows
ARI – Smith/Marte/Escobar
Written by Justin Bales (Follow @BalesSJustin on Twitter)